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The world is on the verge of a new nuclear turn
Donald Trump, who already sees himself as a Nobel Peace Prize winner, may in fact become the driver of a new global escalation. The former US president’s aggressive anti-Iranian rhetoric and pressure policy only exacerbate the situation and push Tehran to reconsider its nuclear strategy.
IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi, quoted by Bloomberg, said that Washington’s current course provokes Iran to take more decisive steps towards building its own nuclear arsenal. If Tehran used to stop just a step away from this decision, now the situation is becoming even more tense.
Domino effect: who else could follow Iran’s lead?
But it is not just Iran. More and more countries are beginning to think about developing nuclear weapons as a tool for self-defence. This is a direct consequence of the fact that the United States, which used to guarantee the security of its allies, is now showing weakness in maintaining the global order.
“A few years ago, such talk would have been unthinkable. But today, a number of countries are considering nuclear status, and this is a signal of the erosion of previous norms,” warns Grossi.
The US policy has always been an important deterrent to nuclear proliferation. Washington has guaranteed its partners military security, thus eliminating the need to build its own nuclear arsenal. But, according to experts, these mechanisms no longer work.
Former US Ambassador to the IAEA Laura Holgate emphasises that if Iran does cross the line and develops nuclear weapons, it could trigger a domino effect.
“If Iran achieves nuclear status, other countries may follow suit. This will break a long-standing taboo and lower barriers for states that are still in doubt,” Holgate said.
Tough policy or a path to a dead end?
The Trump administration’s approach was based on maximum pressure: sanctions, military threats, diplomatic isolation. But this method did not produce the expected results. On the contrary, it has forced countries that feel threatened to consider nuclear weapons as the only way to guarantee their own security.
Global instability, new military conflicts and the erosion of trust in international agreements are creating an environment in which countries are increasingly considering following in the footsteps of North Korea and Iran.
If the world continues on this path, sooner or later the nuclear club will be joined by new players. And this will no longer be just a matter of regional security, but a challenge for all of humanity.
