In the geopolitical dance of the Middle East, every step and every gesture counts. Recently, attention has been focused on the delicate game being played between Israel, the United States and Iran. Tensions between Jerusalem and Washington seem to be opening an unexpected window of opportunity for Tehran. This is evidenced not only by the diplomatic silence, but also by subtle signals that Iran deliberately avoids voicing.
In contrast to the usual clamour with which the Islamic Republic responds to international challenges, this time Tehran has chosen silence. Why: The answer lies in the differences between Israel, which insists on decisive action against Iran’s nuclear programme, and the United States, which seems to be taking a more cautious approach. This crack in the transatlantic alliance, according to analysts, has become a real diplomatic jackpot for Iran.
“Tehran is not just watching – it is strategically waiting, allowing the disagreements between Israel and the United States to snowball. Their silence is not a sign of weakness, but of calculation,” said Daniel Roth, a Middle East policy expert and senior fellow at the Center for Strategic Studies in Tel Aviv.
A new rhythm after the elections
Recent political changes in the United States have added a new colour to this story. With the return to power of an administration that avoids open confrontation with Iran, Tehran seems to be relieved. While the Iranian regime used to react nervously to every signal from the West, now it has gained confidence in its actions.
“Iran has realised that it can play the long game. They see that Washington is not in a hurry to escalate, and this gives them room to manoeuvre,” Roth adds.
This change in mood is particularly noticeable against the backdrop of rumours of cancelled Israeli plans to strike Iranian nuclear facilities. Although there is no official confirmation, the very fact of such discussions in the Western press is already working in Iran’s favour, allowing the regime to appear invulnerable.
The people versus the regime: a split within
While the Iranian leadership is enjoying a diplomatic pause, the mood inside the country remains tense. Iranian citizens, who have suffered from economic sanctions and political repression for years, do not share the optimism of their leaders. For many of them, the nuclear programme is not a symbol of national pride, but a source of isolation and poverty.
“The Iranian people want change, not a game of silence. They see the regime using international tensions to strengthen its position, and this only deepens their frustration,” Roth emphasises.
What’s next?
While Israel and the United States are trying to reconcile their positions, Iran continues its quiet game, avoiding any sudden moves. But this silence is deceptive. Behind the scenes, Tehran is probably preparing for the next round, exploiting every crack in the Western alliance.
Will Israel and the United States be able to restore unity in their strategy? Will Iran’s silence herald a new round of tension? There is no answer yet, but one thing is clear: in this game, every move has a price.
Author : Marianna Nyzhnia
