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The year 2025 promises to be no less chaotic than the previous ones, given the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, the strengthening of alliances between authoritarian regimes, and the return of Donald Trump to the White House. His foreign policy will undoubtedly have a significant impact on global affairs, AFP writes in an analytical material.
Ukraine: A decisive turn in the war
Donald Trump’s return to the US presidency could change the course of the war in Ukraine, which is now in its third year. Dependent on Western aid, Kyiv is facing pressure to negotiate, which Moscow sees as capitulation.
Trump has previously said he would “solve this problem in 24 hours” and has expressed sympathy for Russian President Vladimir Putin. His new cabinet, which includes critics of Ukraine such as Tulsi Gabbard, could reduce or end military support for Kyiv, causing serious anxiety in Europe.
Gaza: A regional conflict without a solution
The Middle East remains explosive. Israel, bolstered by Trump’s support, seems even less inclined to reach a political settlement with the Palestinians. Prolonged military control over the Gaza Strip could lead to further escalation, especially if Iran increases its support for Hamas and Hezbollah.
The Korean Peninsula: A new level of threats
North Korea is strengthening its relations with Russia, receiving technology in exchange for arms and military supplies. In 2025, new provocations are expected, including intercontinental ballistic missile tests and increased military tensions on the Korean peninsula.
Taiwan: A potential global conflict
Taiwan remains a key factor in the confrontation between the US and China. Despite diplomatic uncertainty, Washington continues to support Taiwan. Future US Secretary of State Marco Rubio promises to increase pressure on Beijing.
A world in search of stability
The year 2025 will be crucial for global security, depending on the decisions of major players. Alliances of authoritarian regimes, wars and political tensions pose a threat of destabilising the international order, which requires new approaches and effective diplomacy.